XAU

Alert: funding

Alert: spread

Funding you earn now, next payment 04:00 UTC−0.0030%/8h= −3.3% APRnext payment −$0.04 per $10,000 · paid last 24h −0.043%

Price spread now: Polymarket Perps against Kraken Futures+0.066%7-day average 0.000% · you sell dearer than you buy

Net, funding: paid 7d − costs−$48as in the Funding arb table

Net, price: spread back to 7d avg − costs−$20as in the Price arb table

costs, in and out, $10k−$270.267% of the position

Long on Kraken Futures Short on Polymarket Perps

What this pair did over the last

the charts below follow

Funding, last 7 days−0.217%−$22 on $10k

Price spread, last 4 days (all we have)−0.126%−$13 · spread now +0.066%, 7d avg 0.000%

Together, before fees−0.343%−$34 on $10k · with fees, hour by hour

The price spread pays, funding is against you. Polymarket Perps is 0.066% dearer against Kraken Futures than usual: you sell high and buy low (spread +0.066% now, against its 7-day average of 0.000%): +$7 on $10k if it goes back. Holding the pair costs −$1 a day in funding at the current rate, which eats that in about 7.4 days. At the pace of the last 7 days (−0.217% in total) that is about 2.1 days.

Leg	Exchange	Price	Funding /8h	Each payment	Next in	OI	Vol 24h	Max lev
Long	Kraken Futures PF_XAUUSD	4,344	0.0194	pay 0.0024% / 1h	9m 41s	$592K	$132K	25x
Short	Polymarket Perps GOLD-USD	4,346.9	0.0164	get 0.0021% / 1h	9m 41s	$4.3M	$2.0M	20x

Funding history

latest

Range statsloading…

Price spread between the two exchanges

Polymarket Perps against Kraken Futures. Falling: the short leg gains. Rising: it loses.

latest

Price spreadloading…

Funding on every exchange

click an exchange to add or hide it

latest

How often the price spread is this wide · share of time at each level, last 7D show

Profit calculator

Position, each leg$Hold fordaysFee Kraken FuturesbpFee Polymarket PerpsbpOrdersPrice spread, now +0.066%Rate

Funding earned: −$6.25
Price spread: +0.066% → 0.000%: $6.59
Slippage, 4 orders: −$8.71
Fee Kraken Futures: 5 bp × 2 orders: −$10
Fee Polymarket Perps: 4 bp × 2 orders: −$8
Net: −$26.37
Costs to cover: 0.267%
Break-even: never at this rate

Slippage from Kraken Futures: live order book, 48 min ago; Polymarket Perps: live order book, 4 min ago.

Cost to enter

taker fee + slippage from the mid, one side; closing costs about the same again

Leg	Half-spread	$10k	$100k	$1M	$5M
Buy Kraken Futures live order book, 48 min ago	2.97 bp	8.2 bp −$8	14.0 bp −$140	doesn't fit	doesn't fit
Sell Polymarket Perps live order book, 4 min ago	0.92 bp	5.1 bp −$5	5.3 bp −$53	5.9 bp −$589	doesn't fit

XAU on 39 venues

lowest funding first. Swap a leg: a good short leg pays more funding and is priced higher.

Exchange	Funding /8h	Every	Price	Price vs long leg	OI	Vol 24h	Max lev
RISEx XAU/USDC	0.0000%	1h	4,346.4	+0.054%	$3.4M	$12.3M	25x	as long as short
Hotstuff GOLD-PERP	0.0000%	1h	4,342.7	−0.031%	$33K	—	25x	as long as short
Gate XAU_USDT	0.0000%	4h	4,349.5	+0.126%	$266.5M	$417.5M	100x	as long as short
SunX XAU-USDT	0.0000%	4h	4,351.3	+0.166%	$92K	$8.9M	20x	as long as short
gTrade (Gains Network) XAU/USD	L +0.0002% / S −0.0003%	1h	4,343.1	−0.021%	$272K	—	250x	as long as short
Lighter XAU	+0.0032%	1h	4,346.7	+0.060%	$20.8M	$38.2M	25x	as long as short
Extended XAU-USD	+0.0032%	1h	4,343.6	−0.009%	$13.2M	$38.2M	25x	as long as short
Injective XAU/USDC PERP	+0.0033%	1h	4,350.4	+0.147%	$619	$54	52x	as long as short
Lighter RH XAU	+0.0040%	1h	4,348.7	+0.107%	$20.1M	$39.4M	25x	as long as short
StandX XAU-USD	+0.0040%	1h	4,347.4	+0.078%	$3.8M	$4.5M	40x	as long as short

Show all 39 venues

Exchange	Funding /8h	Every	Price	Price vs long leg	OI	Vol 24h	Max lev
QFEX GOLD-USD	+0.0041%	1h	4,346.1	+0.048%	$5.7M	$2.0M	20x	as long as short
Vest GC-PERP	+0.0046%	1h	4,379.5	+0.817%	—	$1.0M	25x	as long as short
Coinbase International GOLD-PERP-INTX	+0.0048%	1h	4,343.7	−0.008%	$2.0M	$4.8M	25x	as long as short
Kalshi KXGOLDPERP	+0.0049%	24h	4,345.3	+0.029%	$4.2M	$37.4M	15x	as long as short
tradeXYZ xyz:GOLD	+0.0050%	1h	4,344.8	+0.018%	$293.9M	$48.8M	25x	as long as short
Ondo Perps XAU-USD.P	+0.0050%	1h	4,344	0.000%	$15.1M	$56.9M	25x	as long as short
Aster XAUUSD1	+0.0063%	4h	4,349	+0.113%	$71.4M	$333.1M	20x	as long as short
Variational Omni XAU	+0.0076%	4h	4,345.3	+0.029%	$48.4M	$28.2M	—	as long as short
Paradex XAU-USD-PERP	+0.0080%	8h	4,347.5	+0.079%	$19K	$5K	5x	as long as short
GRVT XAU_USDT_Perp	+0.0086%	4h	4,346.5	+0.056%	$1.4M	$2.9M	25x	as long as short
MEXC XAU_USDT	+0.0088%	4h	4,347.9	+0.088%	$372.8M	$320.5M	1000x	as long as short
Binance XAUUSDT	+0.0090%	4h	4,347.8	+0.087%	$413.9M	$2.10B	100x	as long as short
edgeX XAUUSDC	+0.0099%	4h	4,343.2	−0.020%	$30.2M	$58.3M	50x	as long as short
Pacifica XAU	+0.0100%	1h	4,343.7	−0.008%	$1.4M	$1.1M	10x	as long as short
ApeX Omni XAUUSDT	+0.0100%	1h	4,343.3	−0.018%	$274K	$203K	50x	as long as short
Bluefin GOLD-PERP	+0.0100%	1h	4,340.4	−0.084%	$25K	$14K	20x	as long as short
Aevo XAU-PERP	+0.0104%	1h	4,346.3	+0.052%	$161K	$87	10x	as long as short
Phoenix GOLD	+0.0142%	1h	4,344.7	+0.015%	$47K	$77K	25x	as long as short
Polymarket Perps GOLD-USDshort	+0.0164%	1h	4,346.9	+0.066%	$4.3M	$2.0M	20x
Bullet GOLD-USD	+0.0187%	1h	4,347	+0.068%	$59K	$82K	10x	as long as short
Kraken Futures PF_XAUUSDlong	+0.0194%	1h	4,344	long leg	$592K	$132K	25x
Phemex XAUUSDT	+0.0232%	4h	4,349.4	+0.123%	$2.2M	$967K	100x	as long as short
Bitget XAUUSDT	+0.0234%	4h	4,348.5	+0.103%	$70.1M	$109.2M	100x	as long as short
Bybit XAUUSDT	+0.0240%	4h	4,349.2	+0.119%	$85.1M	$145.4M	150x	as long as short
Deribit GOLD_USDC-PERPETUAL	+0.0256%	1h	4,345.7	+0.038%	$206K	$825K	25x	as long as short
OKX XAU-USDT-SWAP	+0.0298%	8h	4,348.9	+0.112%	$165.3M	$282.0M	100x	as long as short
BloFin XAU-USDT	+0.0329%	4h	4,346.1	+0.048%	$15.6M	$4.5M	100x	as long as short
GMX GOLD/USD [ETH-USDC]	L +0.0418% / S −0.0239%	1h	4,347.3	+0.075%	$248K	—	111x	as long as short
HTX XAU-USDT	+0.0619%	4h	4,351.3	+0.167%	$2.8M	$4.6M	75x	as long as short