data as of
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Price arb /

ASML

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Checked every minute; it has to hold two checks in a row. Delivery to Telegram comes later, so for now alerts appear on the alerts page.

After costs, if the gap returns to its 7d average, $10k−$46
spread now+0.053%7d average+0.051%fees + slippage, in and out−$46spread needed0.465%
Long on Polymarket PerpsShort on OKX
LegExchangePriceFunding /8hEach paymentNext inOIVol 24hMax lev
LongPolymarket Perps ASML-USD1,699.90.0050pay 0.0006% / 1h0m 32s$89K$419K10x
ShortOKX ASML-USDT-SWAP1,700.80get 0.0000% / 8h0m 32s$717K$257K20x

Price spread history

latest
Range statsloading…

How often the spread is this wide

share of time at each level, last 7D

Backtest

opened in the past, held until now, after costs
Backtest 7 daysBacktest 30 daysBacktest 90 daysopens the backtester with this pair and $10,000 a leg

Profit calculator

Spread captured
$5.29
Funding while held
−$1.5
Slippage, 4 orders
−$28.47
Fee Polymarket Perps: 4 bp × 2 orders
−$8
Fee OKX: 5 bp × 2 orders
−$10
Net
−$42.67
Spread needed to break even
0.465%
Slippage from Polymarket Perps: live order book, 44 min ago; OKX: live order book, 47 min ago.

Cost of waiting

funding view
Funding /8h
−0.0050%
Per $10,000 a day
−$1.50
Average in range /8h
—

Cost to enter

taker fee + slippage from the mid, one side; closing costs about the same again
LegHalf-spread$10k$100k$1M$5M
Buy Polymarket Perps live order book, 44 min ago1.18 bp9.9 bp −$1010.3 bp −$10312.7 bp −$1,270doesn't fit
Sell OKX live order book, 47 min ago2.65 bp11.2 bp −$1140.2 bp −$402doesn't fitdoesn't fit

ASML price on every exchange

against the cheapest. Click to use as the short leg.
SunX1,697.2cheapestAster1,698.1+0.052%KuCoin1,698.4+0.067%tradeXYZ1,698.5+0.074%Bitget1,699.1+0.108%Bybit1,699.1+0.112%Phoenix1,699.6+0.139%Gate1,699.9+0.154%
Polymarket Perps1,699.9+0.157%
Binance1,700.7+0.202%Extended1,700.7+0.202%BloFin1,700.7+0.204%HTX1,700.8+0.209%
OKX1,700.8+0.210%
Lighter1,701.7+0.263%Injective1,702.2+0.293%

ASML on 16 venues

cheapest first. Swap a leg.
Exchangevs long legFunding /8hEveryOIVol 24hMax lev
SunX ASML-USDT−0.156%0.0000%8h$859$1.2M10xas long as short
Aster ASMLUSDT−0.105%0.0000%8h$14K$4K20xas long as short
KuCoin ASMLUSDTM−0.089%+0.0100%8h$211K$372K10xas long as short
tradeXYZ xyz:ASML−0.082%+0.0050%1h$2.8M$783K10xas long as short
Bitget ASMLUSDT−0.048%0.0000%8h$947K$581K20xas long as short
Bybit ASMLUSDT−0.045%0.0000%8h$877K$124K25xas long as short
Phoenix ASML−0.018%+0.0142%1h$815$18K10xas long as short
Gate ASML_USDT−0.003%0.0000%8h$1.1M$678K50xas long as short
Polymarket Perps ASML-USDlong0.000%+0.0050%1h$89K$419K10x
Binance ASMLUSDT+0.045%+0.0030%8h$3.5M$2.8M20xas long as short
Show all 16 venues
Exchangevs long legFunding /8hEveryOIVol 24hMax lev
Extended ASML-USD+0.046%+0.0032%1h$4K$237K10xas long as short
BloFin ASML-USDT+0.048%+0.0031%8h$48K$102K20xas long as short
HTX ASML-USDT+0.052%0.0000%8h$11K$58K20xas long as short
OKX ASML-USDT-SWAPshort+0.053%0.0000%8h$717K$257K20x
Lighter ASML+0.106%+0.0032%1h$56K$4K10xas long as short
Injective ASML/USDC PERP+0.136%+0.0033%1h$11K$37K12xas long as short