Funding arb · Price arb / Crypto
| Leg | Exchange | Price | Fund. /8h | Each payment | Next in | OI | Vol 24h | Lev | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | 7.0183 | 0 | 0.0000% / 8h | 7h 57m | $154K | $132K | 2.8x | Long Kalshi | |
| SHORT | 7.0070 | −0.0060 | pay 0.0008% / 1h | 57m 23s | $208K | $314K | 50x | Short TxFlow5% off |
Price gap−0.161%
Funding gap−0.0060% /8h
Both sides work against this direction now: funding costs $2 a day on $10k and the gap is 0.032% under its 7d average. Swap the legs.
If you open now and hold
on $10k a leg · figures of the last 7D, not a forecastFunding−$23−0.0060% /8h now · paid −0.225% over the last 7D
Price−$3spread −0.161% now, avg −0.129% → −0.032% if it goes back
Costs−$380.383% of $10k · taker + slippage, in and out
Result−$64−0.64%+ Points / potential airdropTxFlow: points · farm boardWhat the last 7D really paid, hour by hour → backtest
Price and funding
1h · historyEntry / Exit
Price spread
Prices
Fundingper 8h
ENTRY / EXIT · 7D
Entry now—
Entry average—
Best entry—
Exit now—
Exit average—
Best exit—
Exit free—
PRICE SPREAD · 7D
Now−0.161%
Average—
Range—
Wider than now—
FUNDING SPREAD · 7D
Average /8h—
Highest—
Lowest—
Paid you—
Where the spread has been, last 7D▾
share of time at each level
Funding on every exchange
/8hUNI on 46 exchanges
lowest funding firstBefore you open
2 ok · 4 to watch- OK: Fits both order books14.9 / 5.2 bpEntry at $10k a leg, taker fee + slippage. Closing costs about the same.
- Note: Margin at max leverage$3,535 + $200Kalshi 2.8x, TxFlow 50x. Keep about 2× this so a sharp move doesn’t liquidate one leg.
- Watch: Payment intervals differ8h / 1hPayments land at different times. Close right after the slower leg pays.Next 24h at the current rates, on $10k a leg: −$1.81Long Kalshi: 3 payments, $0.00; short TxFlow: 24 payments, −$1.81.
- Watch: Gap narrower than usual−0.161% vs −0.129%Less room for the price leg to pay you. If it goes back to average, the short loses.
- Watch: Long leg is thinner$154K vs $208K OIKalshi sets your exit cost. Check its book before closing.
- OK: Points on a legTxFlow pointsVolume here counts toward the points program.
- Watch: KYCKalshi Yes · TxFlow NoA US-regulated exchange: full KYC (ID, address, SSN when asked) before any trade.
Profit calculator
both legs, in and outPosition, each legHold forOrdersPrice spreadFunding rate
Funding earned−0.0107%/8h × 21 periods−$22.50
Price spread−0.161% → −0.129% (7d avg)−$3.16
Slippage, 4 orderslive order books−$21.33
Fee Kalshi bp × 2 orders−$8.00
Fee TxFlow bp × 2 orders−$9.00
Net · 7 days · $10k−$63.99
Costs to cover0.383%Break-evennever at this rate
Slippage: Kalshi: live order book, 60 min ago; TxFlow: live order book, 58 min agoCost to enter
taker + slippage from mid, one sideBUY · LONGKalshi6.5614.9 bp−$1522.1 bp−$221doesn’t fitdoesn’t fit
SELL · SHORTTxFlow0.715.2 bp−$59.0 bp−$9027.8 bp−$2,777200.6 bp−$100.3K
Closing costs about the same again.
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