Funding arb · Price arb /

BTC

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Swap Backtest

Alert: funding

Alert: spread

Funding you earn now, next payment 23:00 UTC+0.0095%/8h= +10.4% APRpaid last 24h −0.018%

Price spread now: Kalshi against Bullet+0.041%7-day average −0.010% · you sell dearer than you buy

Net, funding: paid 7d − costs—under 7 days of funding history

Net, price: spread back to 7d avg − costs−$15as in the Price arb table

costs, in and out, $10k−$200.198% of the position

Long on Bullet Short on Kalshi

What this pair did over the last

the charts below follow

Funding, last 3 days (all we have)−0.049%−$5 on $10k

Price spread, last 7 days−0.028%−$3 · spread now +0.041%, 7d avg −0.010%

Together, before fees−0.077%−$8 on $10k · with fees, hour by hour

Both sides work for this trade now. Funding pays +$3 a day on $10k at the current rate, and Kalshi is 0.051% dearer against Bullet than usual: you sell high and buy low: +$5 more if the spread goes back to its 7-day average of −0.010%.

Leg	Exchange	Price	Funding /8h	Each payment	Next in	OI	Vol 24h	Max lev
Long	Bullet BTC-USD	86,398.4	0.0100	pay 0.0013% / 1h	27m 30s	$191K	$3.3M	20x
Short	Kalshi KXBTCPERP	86,434	0.0195	get 0.0195% / 8h	5h 27m	$9.7M	$731.0M	6.4x

Funding history

latest

Range statsloading…

Price spread between the two exchanges

Kalshi against Bullet. Falling: the short leg gains. Rising: it loses.

latest

Price spreadloading…

Funding on every exchange

click an exchange to add or hide it

latest

How often the price spread is this wide · share of time at each level, last 7D show

Profit calculator

Position, each leg$Hold fordaysFee BulletbpFee KalshibpOrdersPrice spread, now +0.041%Rate

Funding earned: $19.97
Price spread: +0.041% → −0.010%: $5.14
Slippage, 4 orders: −$1.78
Fee Bullet: 4 bp × 2 orders: −$8
Fee Kalshi: 5 bp × 2 orders: −$10
Net: $5.34
Costs to cover: 0.198%
Break-even: 5.1 days

Slippage from Bullet: live order book, 2 min ago; Kalshi: live order book, 2 min ago.

Cost to enter

taker fee + slippage from the mid, one side; closing costs about the same again

Leg	Half-spread	$10k	$100k	$1M	$5M
Buy Bullet live order book, 2 min ago	0.23 bp	4.3 bp −$4	7.1 bp −$71	doesn't fit	doesn't fit
Sell Kalshi live order book, 2 min ago	0.12 bp	5.7 bp −$6	7.2 bp −$72	7.6 bp −$761	12.2 bp −$6,082

BTC on 56 venues

lowest funding first. Swap a leg: a good short leg pays more funding and is priced higher.

Exchange	Funding /8h	Every	Price	Price vs long leg	OI	Vol 24h	Max lev
Bluefin BTC-PERP	−0.0409%	1h	86,404.1	+0.007%	$140K	$618K	40x	as long as short
Phoenix BTC	−0.0159%	1h	86,388	−0.012%	$2.2M	$11.8M	40x	as long as short
Hotstuff BTC-PERP	−0.0080%	1h	86,377	−0.025%	$9K	$3K	50x	as long as short
Aftermath Perps BTCUSD	−0.0068%	1h	86,483.6	+0.099%	$83K	$216K	20x	as long as short
Aster BTCUSDT	−0.0012%	8h	86,375.7	−0.026%	$504.1M	$1.15B	200x	as long as short
01 Exchange BTCUSD	−0.0008%	1h	86,410.9	+0.014%	$358K	$2.4M	50x	as long as short
KuCoin XBTUSDTM	0.0000%	8h	86,364.8	−0.039%	$851.2M	$710.9M	125x	as long as short
Perpl BTC	0.0000%	43m	86,386.6	−0.014%	$423K	$23.8M	6.7x	as long as short
Deribit BTC-PERPETUAL	0.0000%	1h	86,392.9	−0.006%	$921.2M	$1.48B	50x	as long as short
dYdX BTC-USD	+0.0001%	1h	86,369.9	−0.033%	$16.9M	$21.1M	50x	as long as short

Show all 56 venues

Exchange	Funding /8h	Every	Price	Price vs long leg	OI	Vol 24h	Max lev
gTrade (Gains Network) BTC/USD	L +0.0005% / S −0.0004%	1h	86,416.1	+0.020%	$36.8M	—	200x	as long as short
RISEx BTC/USDC	+0.0006%	1h	86,385.4	−0.015%	$8.5M	$43.1M	25x	as long as short
Reya BTCRUSDPERP	+0.0022%	1h	86,397.3	−0.001%	$6.7M	$144.9M	40x	as long as short
Injective BTC/USDC PERP	+0.0024%	1h	86,559	+0.186%	$315K	$26.8M	52x	as long as short
Phemex BTCUSDT	+0.0032%	8h	86,367.1	−0.036%	$149.1M	$476.1M	150x	as long as short
BingX BTC-USDC	+0.0034%	8h	86,369.3	−0.034%	—	$15.3M	—	as long as short
Bitget BTCUSDT	+0.0043%	8h	86,403.8	+0.006%	$2.95B	$5.09B	150x	as long as short
Aevo BTC-PERP	+0.0056%	1h	86,371.9	−0.031%	$2.4M	$1.3M	20x	as long as short
MEXC BTC_USDT	+0.0059%	8h	86,382.9	−0.018%	$5.13B	$5.68B	500x	as long as short
Binance BTCUSDT	+0.0061%	8h	86,401.2	+0.003%	$9.41B	$24.38B	150x	as long as short
Hibachi BTC/USDT-P	+0.0064%	1h	86,436	+0.044%	$716K	$8.2M	30x	as long as short
Gate BTC_USDT	+0.0076%	8h	86,382.4	−0.019%	$5.85B	$10.70B	200x	as long as short
Bybit BTCUSDT	+0.0090%	8h	86,402.3	+0.004%	$5.25B	$9.75B	150x	as long as short
SoDEX BTC-USD	+0.0096%	1h	86,370	−0.033%	$60.4M	$337.2M	40x	as long as short
Lighter BTC	+0.0096%	1h	86,389.5	−0.010%	$170.8M	$1.01B	50x	as long as short
Lighter RH BTC	+0.0096%	1h	86,400.2	+0.002%	$24.0M	$152.1M	50x	as long as short
Popdex BTCUSDT	+0.0096%	1h	86,400	+0.002%	$8.5M	$52.3M	100x	as long as short
Katana Perps BTC-USD	+0.0100%	8h	86,367	−0.036%	$203K	$6.9M	50x	as long as short
Paradex BTC-USD-PERP	+0.0100%	8h	86,422.9	+0.028%	$4.8M	$8.5M	50x	as long as short
Nado BTC-PERP	+0.0100%	1h	86,379.8	−0.022%	$22.0M	$234.3M	50x	as long as short
Hyperliquid BTC	+0.0100%	1h	86,472	+0.085%	$3.80B	$5.10B	40x	as long as short
Pacifica BTC	+0.0100%	1h	86,411.9	+0.016%	$40.7M	$513.3M	50x	as long as short
OKX BTC-USDT-SWAP	+0.0100%	8h	86,400	+0.002%	$2.54B	$12.72B	100x	as long as short
Ondo Perps BTC-USD.P	+0.0100%	1h	86,387	−0.013%	$3.9M	$18.6M	25x	as long as short
Arcus BTC-USD	+0.0100%	1h	86,451.2	+0.061%	$7.4M	$94.1M	40x	as long as short
Bulk BTC-USD	+0.0100%	1h	86,343.9	−0.063%	$570.6M	$18.8M	40x	as long as short
Backpack BTC_USDC_PERP	+0.0100%	1h	86,359.8	−0.045%	$37.9M	$154.8M	75x	as long as short
Variational Omni BTC	+0.0100%	8h	86,435.6	+0.043%	$155.8M	$566.3M	—	as long as short
edgeX BTCUSDC	+0.0100%	4h	86,370.9	−0.032%	$279.1M	$946.3M	100x	as long as short
GRVT BTC_USDT_Perp	+0.0100%	8h	86,399.5	+0.001%	$216.9M	$174.6M	50x	as long as short
ApeX Omni BTCUSDT	+0.0100%	1h	86,399.7	+0.001%	$141.3M	$323.0M	100x	as long as short
StandX BTC-USD	+0.0100%	1h	86,375.7	−0.026%	$30.7M	$203.6M	40x	as long as short
Vest BTC-PERP	+0.0100%	1h	86,433.5	+0.041%	—	$11.6M	50x	as long as short
Polymarket Perps BTC-USD	+0.0100%	1h	86,400	+0.002%	$11.0M	$13.7M	50x	as long as short
Bullet BTC-USDlong	+0.0100%	1h	86,398.4	long leg	$191K	$3.3M	20x
Orderly PERP_BTC_USDC	+0.0100%	8h	86,396	−0.003%	$2.4M	$8.6M	100x	as long as short
Derive BTC-PERP	+0.0100%	1h	86,384.9	−0.016%	$30.0M	$61.6M	15x	as long as short
SunX BTC-USDT	+0.0100%	8h	86,424.4	+0.030%	$3.4M	$5.4M	100x	as long as short
HTX BTC-USDT	+0.0100%	8h	86,365.5	−0.038%	$2.29B	$967.7M	200x	as long as short
Extended BTC-USD	+0.0104%	1h	86,369.8	−0.033%	$45.7M	$226.3M	50x	as long as short
Jupiter Perps WBTC-PERP	L +0.0104% / S +0.0048%	1h	86,431.7	+0.039%	—	$98.7M	500x	as long as short
Coinbase International BTC-PERP-INTX	+0.0112%	1h	86,406.4	+0.009%	$132.0M	$5.69B	50x	as long as short
Kraken Futures PF_XBTUSD	+0.0121%	1h	86,383.3	−0.018%	$191.3M	$943.0M	100x	as long as short
BloFin BTC-USDT	+0.0180%	8h	86,415	+0.019%	$414.6M	$653.3M	150x	as long as short
GMX BTC/USD [WBTC.b-USDC]	L +0.0183% / S −0.0211%	1h	86,410.5	+0.014%	$15.3M	—	200x	as long as short
Kalshi KXBTCPERPshort	+0.0195%	8h	86,434	+0.041%	$9.7M	$731.0M	6.4x